@ FiveThirtyEight

Featured pieces:

Full archive of articles for FiveThirtyEight by Renard Sexton  (reverse chronological)

  1. Analyzing a Sea Change in Canada (3 May 2011)
  2. For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain (2 May 2011)
  3. And the Award for Best Dictator Goes To… (25 February 2011)
  4. The South Sudanese Referendum Won’t Depend on the Diaspora (10 January 2011)
  5. Complex Formulas Governing the Afghan Elections (17 September 2010)
  6. Palestinian Refugees Get Qualified Right to Work in Lebanon (18 August 2010)
  7. UK: Labour Leadership Battle is Brewing (4 August 2010)
  8. Australian Labor Party in Pole Position (24 July 2010)
  9. Friday’s Election in Precarious Burundi (21 July 2010)
  10. Blast in Uganda Underscores a Volatile Region (15 July 2010)
  11. Sarkozy Has a Popularity Problem (8 July 2010)
  12. Kyrgyzstan on the Edge of Even Greater Ethnic Strife (3 July 2010)
  13. In Europe, the World Cup is Not for Wimps (30 June 2010)
  14. Santos Wins Convincingly in Colombia (21 June 2010)
  15. Slow Progress in Baghdad: No PM in Place Yet (18 June 2010)
  16. Belgian Election Ushers in Further Uncertainty (14 June 2010)
  17. Belgium: Making Afghan Politics Seem Straightforward (9 June 2010)
  18. Colombia Redux: Mockus is in Big Trouble (3 June 2010)
  19. Colombian Presidential Election Headed for a Run-off (30 May 2010)
  20. Is the Lib Dem Surge for Real (Part 4: The meltdown) (15 May 2010)
  21. Con-Lib Pact Brings Cameron to PM’s Chair (12 May 2010)
  22. Liveblog: UK Election Returns (6 May 2010)
  23. UK Quick and Dirty (6 May 2010)
  24. UK Election: “Frankenstein” Win for Labour Still Possible (3 May 2010)
  25. Is the Lib-Dem Surge for Real? (Part 3: Strategy) (2 May 2010)
  26. Third Time’s the Charm for Cameron (1 May 2010)
  27. UK Seats Projection: Tories 299, Labour 199, LibDems 120 (29 April 2010)
  28. Is the Lib-Dem Surge For Real? (Part 2: Target Seats) (20 April 2010)
  29. Is the Lib-Dem Surge For Real? (Part 1: The Problem) (19 April 2010)
  30. Selection Bias in UK Polling (Part 2): Internet Polling (18 April 2010)
  31. Selection bias in UK polling (Part 1): Cell phones (18 April 2010)
  32. Consolidate the Base, Then Move to the Center (13 April 2010)
  33. Why Turnout Matters (13 April 2010)
  34. Is an Anti-Islam Wave Hitting Europe? (9 April 2010)
  35. Getting It “Right” on the UK Numbers (3 April 2010)
  36. UK Polling Numbers Not Sufficiently Precise (Yet) to Project (29 March 2010)
  37. Iraqi Election Goes Down to the Wire (25 March 2010)
  38. UK Swing Voters Endanger Tory Lead (14 March 2010)
  39. Breaking News: U.S. and U.K. Redistricting Processes Equally Boneheaded (12 March 2010)
  40. New Feature: UK Election Backgrounders (8 March 2010)
  41. Karzai’s Newest Power Play (26 February 2010)
  42. Livestock Microfinance an Option for the Future? (20 February 2010)
  43. For UK Conservatives, It’s The MP Ratio That Matters (12 February 2010)
  44. Instant Run-Off Proposed by Brown (7 February 2010)
  45. Prime Minister’s Questions: Iraq (29 January 2010)
  46. Iraq’s Electoral Uncertainty Threatens Fragile Peace (24 January 2010)
  47. A Hung Parliament? (From the Gallows, Perhaps?) (18 January 2010)
  48. Haiti and United States Inextricably Linked (13 January 2010)
  49. Politics of Afghanistan Part II (12 January 2010)
  50. Afghanistan – U.S. Politics in 2010 (8 January 2010)
  51. The Obama Strategy in Black and White (26 December 2009)
  52. What Republicans Can Learn from French Communists (20 December 2009)
  53. Berlusconi the Survivor (15 December 2009)
  54. ERASMUS in America (Cultural Integration) (9 December 2009)
  55. Some Key Nuggets of the Afghanistan Strategy Speech (6 December 2009)
  56. Foreigners in Switzerland (30 November 2009)
  57. Bringing in a Strong Team: Obama vs the EU (23 November 2009)
  58. American Politics and International Soccer: Who’s the Ref? (19 November 2009)
  59. Republicans Far Behind on Women Legislators (9 November 2009)
  60. Congressional Foreign Politics (5 November 2009)
  61. For European Integration, Movement and Money Counts (30 October 2009)
  62. Afghanistan Audit Doesn’t Look Good For Karzai (19 October 2009)
  63. Quietly, Japan Is Changing Course (16 October 2009)
  64. Clinton’s Busy Summer (12 October 2009)
  65. Obama’s Prize for Peace (9 October 2009)
  66. Afghanistan’s Dangerous (and Expensive) Soap Opera (8 October 2009)
  67. Proportional Voting? Well, Kinda (2 October 2009)
  68. Iran Announcement Underscores Complexity (28 September 2009)
  69. Party Politics in Germany (27 September 2009)
  70. German Elections: Afghanistan Issue on the Rise (22 September 2009)
  71. Players in the Afghanistan Sandbox (21 September 2009)
  72. Fraud Changing the Tune in Afghanistan (16 September 2009)
  73. Tide of Change in Japan? A Quick Electoral History (1 September 2009)
  74. Afghanistan In a Holding Pattern: Abdullah Protests (24 August 2009)
  75. Afghanistan: 2004 results and 2009 Polling (19 August 2009)
  76. Obama’s Peril in Afghanistan? (17 August 2009)
  77. Afghanistan Election Heating Up (13 August 2009)
  78. Chavismo, Obama and the Monroe Doctrine (1 August 2009)
  79. Let’s Not Kid Ourselves About Aid Flows (24 July 2009)
  80. The Obama Effect Considered (16 July 2009)
  81. Sex scandals, le style Français (26 June 2009)
  82. Iranian Leadership Split On Response (19 June 2009)
  83. Recount in Iran? (16 June 2009)
  84. Iran Does Have Some Fishy Numbers (15 June 2009)
  85. Polling and Voting in Iran’s Friday Election (12 June 2009)
  86. March of the Greens? (7 June 2009)
  87. Exit Polls and Outrageous Folded Ballots in NL and UK (5 June 2009)
  88. Brits and Dutch Vote Today; Skeptics Leading (4 June 2009)
  89. Home Stretch of European Parliament Elections; Egg-Pelting Continues (3 June 2009)
  90. Party Discipline in the U.S. Senate and European Parliament (23 May 2009)
  91. Introduction to the European Parliament Elections (13 May 2009)
  92. Update from Sierra Leone (12 May 2009)
  93. Recession, Succession, and Secession (27 April 2009)
  94. Swiss Banks, Taxes and Tea Parties (15 April 2009)
  95. The World Owned the Election Too (31 March 2009)